Effect of Climate Variables in Rice Yield in Nueva Ecija, Philippines

  • Andro M. Enovejas University of the Philippines Los Banos
  • Sharmaine Maldia University of the Philippines Los Banos
  • Nurul Amri Komarudin IPB University
  • Dante Gideon K. Vergara University of the Philippines Los Banos
  • Yahya Shafiyuddin Hilmi Universitas Gadjah Mada
  • Janice B. Sevilla-Nastor University of the Philippines Los Banos
Keywords: Climate variability, irrigated, rainfed, rice crop yield

Abstract

Climate variability is one of the factors that directly and greatly affect cropping system and plant yield. It is therefore very important to obtain a good understanding about climate variability or changes in the climate and the effect of these changes to clearly understand the vulnerability of food crops as well as its agronomic impacts for us to create and implement adaptive strategies to mitigate its negative effects.  This study assessed the effect of climate in rice crop yield in both irrigated and rainfed ecotype farming system in Nueva Ecija Province in the Philippines using semi-annual yield data and the different climate variables such as seasonal rainfall, mean temperature, minimum temperature, and relative humidity by using empirical/statistical method through time series analysis, and correlation analysis. Results indicated that rice yield for irrigated and rainfed ecosystem type of farming in Nueva Ecija show an overall increasing trend from year 1991-2018, although there are observed decline and fluctuations in some years. The different climate variables (i.e., rainfall, temperature, and humidity) show fluctuating trends and irregularities spanning from the year 1991-2018. But it showed overall decreasing trends for relative humidity and increasing trends for rainfall, minimum temperature, and mean temperature. There are significant correlations between rice yield the all the climate variables in both irrigated and rainfed farming ecosystem types. 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[PSA] Philippines Statictic Authority 2009. Selected Statistics on Agriculture 2019. Diliman, Quezon City, Philippines: Philippine Statistics authority; Link: https://psa.gov.ph/sites/default/files/Selected%20Statistics%20on%20Agriculture%202019.pdf ; 2019 [Accessed on October 12 2019]

[PSA] Philippines Statictic Authority. 2009. OpenSTAT/ Agriculcure, orestry, Fisheries/ Crops. Diliman, Quezon City, Philippines: Philippine Statistics Authority; Link: http://openstat.psa.gov.ph/[Accessed on October 27 2019]

[WAMIS] World AgroMeteorological Informarmation Service. 2019. Link http://www.wamis.org/ [Accessed on October 30 2019].

Battisti, D.S., Naylor, R.L. 2009. Historical warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Journal of Science. 323: 240-244.

Bell, M.A., Fischer, R.A., Byerlee, D., Sayre. K. 1995. Genetic and agronomic contributions to yield gains: A case study for wheat. Journal of Field Crops Research. 44: 55-65.

Iizumi, T., Ramankutty. N. 2016. Changes in yield variability of major crops for 1981-2010 explained by climate change. Journal of Environmental Research Letters 11: p.034003.

Lansigan, F. P., De Los Santos, W. L., Coladilla, J.O.2000. Agronomic impacts of climate variability on rice production in the Philippines. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82 (1–3), 129 –137.

Lesk, C., Rowhani, P., Ramankutty. N. 2016. Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production. Journal of Nature. 529: 84-87.

Lobell, D., B. 2010. Crop responses to climate: time-series models. In: Lobell D, Burke M, editors. Journal of Climate Change & Food Security. Springer etherlands. p 85–98.

Lobell, D.B., Cahill, K.N., Field. C.B., 2007. Historical effects of temperature and precipitation on California crop yields. Journal of ClimChange . 81(2):187–

Lobell, D.B., Field. C.B. 2007. Global scale climate–crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Journal of Environ Res Lett 2(1): 014002

Matthews, R.B., Wassmann, R. 2003. Modelling the impacts of climate change and methane emission reductions on rice production: A review. Eur. J. Agron., 19: 573-598.

Osborn, T.M., Wheeler. T.R. 2013. Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Journal of Environ Res Lett. 8(2): 024001.Ricepedia. Rice as a Crop. Link: http://ricepedia.org/rice-as-a-crop [Accessed on October 27 2019]

Sajid. H,Jie. H, Jung. H, Shakeel. A, Satyabrata. N, Sumera. A, Awais. S Chunquan. Z, Lianfeng. Z, Xiaochuang. C, Qianyu. J, Junhua. Z. 2020. Rice Production Under Climate Change: Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies, Environment, Climate, Plant and Vegetation Growth,pp 659-686.

Salvacion, A. R. 2019. Effect of climate on provincial-level banana yield in the Philippines. Information Processing in Agriculture, (xxxx). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inpa.2019.05.005

Specht, J.E., Hume, D.J., Kumudini, S.V. 1999. Soybean yield potential genetic and physiological perspective. Journal of Crop Science 39: 1560-1570.

Tollenaar, M., Lee, E.A. 2002. Yield potential, yield stability and stress tolerance in maize. Field Crops Research. 75: 161-169.

UNESCO. https://www.gounesco.com/palayan-city-a-hidden-gem-in-nuev-ecija/[Accessed on October 10 2019]

Urban. D.W., Sheffield. J., Lobell. D.B., 2015. The Impacts of Future Climate and Carbon Dioxide Changes on the Average and Variability of US Maize Yields under Two Emission Scenarios. Journal of Environmental Research Letters. 10: 045003.

Utami. A.W., Jamhari, Hardyastuti. S. 2011. El Nino, Lanina, dan Penawaran Pangan di Jawa. Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, Vol. 12, No. 2: 257-271.

Khanal. B. 2015. Correlation of Cliamtic Factors with Cereal Crops yield: A Study from Hirostical Data of Morang District, Nepal. The Journal of Agriculture and

Environment Vol: 16, June 2015.

Oguntunde . P. G., Lischeid. G., Dietrich. O. 2018. Relationship between Rice Yield and Climate Variables in Southwest Nigeria Using Multiple Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine Analysis. Int J Biometeorol 62, 459-469 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-017-1454-6

Published
2021-06-25
How to Cite
Enovejas, A. M., Maldia, S., Komarudin, N. A., Vergara, D. G. K., Hilmi, Y. S., & Sevilla-Nastor, J. B. (2021). Effect of Climate Variables in Rice Yield in Nueva Ecija, Philippines . Asia Pacific Journal of Sustainable Agriculture, Food and Energy, 9(1), 29-44. https://doi.org/10.36782/apjsafe.v9i1.77
Section
Agricultural Technology and Renewable Energy